Price direction vs open interest direction regime classification
| Commodity | Category | Regime | Price Chg | OI Chg | OI %ile | OI RoC | OI Trend | Confirmation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar No 11 | Softs | Distribution | -6.6% | +15.75% |
100.0% |
+13,555/wk | Conflicts | |
| Gasoline Rbob | Energy | Capitulation | +0.67% | +19.76% |
96.5% |
+6,945/wk | No Signal | |
| Crude Oil | Energy | Strong Trend | +6.78% | +9.52% |
96.1% |
+16,367/wk | No Signal | |
| Wheat | Grains | Capitulation | +4.53% | +30.34% |
91.2% |
+11,042/wk | No Signal | |
| Cotton No 2 | Softs | Capitulation | +1.82% | +29.12% |
90.8% |
+7,394/wk | No Signal | |
| Soybeans | Grains | Capitulation | +1.55% | -1.39% |
88.8% |
-1,203/wk | No Signal | |
| Euro (EUR) | Currencies | Capitulation | +3.02% | +11.52% |
84.9% |
+8,699/wk | No Signal | |
| Swiss Franc (CHF) | Currencies | Strong Trend | +5.32% | +23.6% |
81.8% |
+1,663/wk | No Signal | |
| Natural Gas | Energy | Distribution | -28.69% | +8.69% |
75.3% |
+11,801/wk | No Signal | |
| Australian Dollar (AUD) | Currencies | Strong Trend | +9.69% | +28.29% |
71.4% |
+4,956/wk | Conflicts | |
| Copper | Metals | Strong Trend | +16.08% | +15.99% |
68.3% |
+3,394/wk | No Signal | |
| NASDAQ 100 Consolidated | Equity Indices | Capitulation | -0.75% | -12.91% |
64.2% |
-3,703/wk | No Signal | |
| Corn | Grains | Capitulation | +3.61% | +16.62% |
60.8% |
+22,487/wk | No Signal | |
| S&P 500 Consolidated | Equity Indices | Capitulation | +1.95% | -6.93% |
60.6% |
-13,237/wk | No Signal | |
| Japanese Yen (JPY) | Currencies | Capitulation | +2.64% | -2.75% |
56.0% |
-861/wk | No Signal | |
| US Treasury Bond | Interest Rates | Capitulation | -3.73% | -8.38% |
54.5% |
-14,644/wk | No Signal | |
| New Zealand Dollar (NZD) | Currencies | Short Covering | +7.56% | -32.97% |
47.8% |
-3,212/wk | No Signal | |
| DJIA Consolidated | Equity Indices | Short Covering | +6.47% | -13.37% |
46.7% |
-1,045/wk | No Signal | |
| Brazilian Real (BRL) | Currencies | Capitulation | -3.23% | -31.6% |
46.1% |
-3,739/wk | No Signal | |
| Live Cattle | Livestock | Capitulation | +7.93% | -2.03% |
41.8% |
-615/wk | No Signal | |
| Mexican Peso (MXN) | Currencies | Strong Trend | +7.34% | +9.36% |
40.0% |
+1,767/wk | No Signal | |
| British Pound (GBP) | Currencies | Capitulation | +3.95% | -27.88% |
34.4% |
-7,998/wk | No Signal | |
| Palladium | Metals | Short Covering | +21.51% | -13.2% |
29.1% |
-229/wk | No Signal | |
| Coffee C | Softs | Distribution | -14.43% | +9.79% |
28.4% |
+1,419/wk | No Signal | |
| Silver | Metals | Short Covering | +50.7% | -7.54% |
26.5% |
-991/wk | No Signal | |
| Orange Juice | Softs | Short Covering | +32.9% | -19.73% |
25.5% |
-202/wk | No Signal | |
| Platinum | Metals | Short Covering | +33.59% | -17.47% |
24.3% |
-1,329/wk | No Signal | |
| Cocoa | Softs | Distribution | -29.49% | +36.42% |
24.0% |
+3,951/wk | No Signal | |
| Canadian Dollar (CAD) | Currencies | Capitulation | +3.59% | -23.23% |
21.6% |
-5,916/wk | No Signal | |
| Dollar Index (DXY) | Currencies | Capitulation | -3.22% | -41.08% |
20.7% |
-1,761/wk | No Signal | |
| Gold | Metals | Short Covering | +21.95% | -6.6% |
0.0% |
-2,596/wk | No Signal |
Open interest is the total number of outstanding futures contracts that have not been settled. When OI rises, new money is entering the market. When OI falls, money is leaving.
Ranks current open interest within its 3-year range (0-100%). High percentile means OI is near historical highs — there's a lot of interest in this market.
Compares the OI regime with the COT contrarian signal. When they agree (e.g., Strong Trend + Bullish Signal), the setup is confirmed. When they conflict, exercise caution.